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Does Dispute Alpha Exist? A Study of UMA, Polymarket, and Resolution Incentives

Nov 17, 2025

Does Dispute Alpha Exist? A Study of UMA, Polymarket, and Resolution Incentives

plus actionable steps for surfacing potential edge in disputed markets

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11/12/25 - 11/13/25 | Top 10 Polymarket Wins & Loses

Nov 14, 2025

11/12/25 - 11/13/25 | Top 10 Polymarket Wins & Loses

Top 10 win and loses on Polymarket between 11/12/25 and 11/13/25

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Uncertainty in Circle Mention Markets

Nov 11, 2025

Uncertainty in Circle Mention Markets

Which mentions will you circle?

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CoreWeave's Past Earning Call Mentions

Nov 10, 2025

CoreWeave's Past Earning Call Mentions

Kalshi. CoreWeave. Earnings Call. What will they say? How will you bet?

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Lodden Thinks, Sports Ecstasy, and Prediction Markets

Nov 6, 2025

Lodden Thinks, Sports Ecstasy, and Prediction Markets

Predicting An Idiot’s Prediction. Basketball. Sports fans. And exploring inefficiencies.

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Kalshi and Why Pedro Pascal Isn't People’s Sexiest Man Alive

Nov 5, 2025

Kalshi and Why Pedro Pascal Isn't People’s Sexiest Man Alive

Why Pedro Pascal isn't People's sexiest man alive. Bet rationale. And a new prediction market.

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11/2/25 - 11/3/25 | Top 10 Wins & Loses on Polymarket

Nov 3, 2025

11/2/25 - 11/3/25 | Top 10 Wins & Loses on Polymarket

Top 10 win and loses on Polymarket between 11/2/25 and 11/03/25

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Did the Paris Jewel Thieves Bet on their Own Capture? Polymarket's US Return?

Oct 29, 2025

Did the Paris Jewel Thieves Bet on their Own Capture? Polymarket's US Return?

Bonjour les dégénérés. Jewel thieves. Lawsuits. The future of Kalshi? Polymarket's US return?

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Disclaimer: 1) The information we provide is for general informational and educational purposes only. We do not provide personalized investment, financial, trading, legal, or tax advice. Nothing on our website or in our newsletters should be construed as a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities, commodities, derivatives, or prediction market positions. You are solely responsible for any investment or trading decisions you make. 2) We do not guarantee or warrant the accuracy, completeness, or usefulness of any content. Markets can change rapidly, and data or commentary may become outdated or inaccurate without notice. 3) We may revise these Terms at any time in our sole discretion. Changes are effective when posted to the website or sent to subscribers via the newsletter. solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities, commodities, derivatives, or prediction market positions. You are solely responsible for any investment or trading decisions you make. 2) We do not guarantee or warrant the accuracy, completeness, or usefulness of any content. Markets can change rapidly, and data or commentary may become outdated or inaccurate without notice. 3) We may revise these Terms at any time in our sole discretion. Changes are effective when posted to the website or sent to subscribers via the newsletter.

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